Other mid-sized private banks may follow suit and revise their FCNR (B) rates to mobilise as much as possible before the window closes. HDFC Bank, the country’s largest private sector lender, and ICICI Bank, the second-largest, continue to offer 6.25 per cent on these deposits. State Bank of India (SBI) offers 6 per cent on deposits of more than $1 million for a five-year tenor.
Meanwhile, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank have put countdown timers on their websites, showing non-resident Indian (NRI) customers the days, hours, minutes and seconds remaining to take advantage of the FCNR (B) rates before the window closes.
Separately, ICICI Bank tapped the overseas bond market to raise $750 million through five-year US dollar-denominated bonds. Other banks may follow suit to quickly raise dollar funds that could help support the mobilisation of additional FCNR (B) deposits.
“We may do it, we may not do it. We have not decided,” said a senior banker at a private bank when asked whether the lender would raise FCNR (B) deposit rates. “Yes, there is a lot more activity now. Because of the closure, clients also have a sense of urgency. People who thought they had time until September 30 are now obviously hurrying things up, so things will certainly move very quickly now,” the banker said, adding that teams were working at a much faster pace.
“Everyone would have assumed that the window would remain open until September, but since that is no longer happening and the window is about to close, some banks are raising interest rates to mobilise as much as possible and ensure that some liquidity comes in,” said a senior banker at a state-owned bank.
According to RBI data, banks had mobilised over $52 billion under the scheme as of August 13. Total mobilisation under the swap window could still hit $60-70 billion by August-end, despite the early closure, experts said.
SBI Research has projected FCNR (B) mobilisation of $60-65 billion.
RBI’s decision to truncate the window came as a surprise to market participants, particularly after Governor Sanjay Malhotra had indicated in a recent media interaction that there was no intention to close the scheme early.
“The RBI’s decision to close the swap window a month early suggests it believes the scheme has largely achieved its objective. With inflows already above $ 50 billion and likely to rise further by the end of August, forex reserve buffers have improved while near-term external financing risks have eased. At the same time, the underlying BoP picture appears less challenging than previously feared,” said Dhiraj Nim and Sanjay Mathur of ANZ, adding that extending the scheme would likely have delivered diminishing returns.
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